Tag Archives: AUD
Sterling exchange rates still looking shaky as we await news on Supreme Court – On the plus side a trade deal with New Zealand may be agreed (Daniel Wright)
As most of our regular readers will be more than aware, Sterling exchange rates have had a pretty torrid time this week, with the pound dropping to its lowest point on a trade weighted basis since October.
We have seen Sterling almost drop below 1.20 on against USD, 1.13 against EUR, 1.60 against AUD, 1.70 against NZD, 1.20 against CHF and it is sat below 1.60 against the Canadian Dollar as I write this!
The uncertainty caused by comments from Prime Minister Theresa May over the weekend and during the week are still causing investors and speculators to remain shaky over the Pound, and economic data has not done anything to provide a backup like it has been over the past few weeks.
The key talking point now is just what will the Supreme Court decide to do? As previously mentioned this decision matters a huge amount not only because it will show us what the next steps will have to be for article 50 being invoked, but it will also more than likely lead to lots of MP’s having their say afterwards and every single comment has the potential to move the market considerably.
On Tuesday we also have Prime Minister Theresa May speaking about Brexit, which makes me wonder whether or not she is expecting to have a result from the Supreme Court before then, if we do then Sterling is set for an extremely busy week.
One positive for the Pound today was news that we appear to have all but agreed a trade deal with New Zealand, and it appears that this is ready to go as soon as possible after Brexit. A number of major economies are stepping forward and happy to do business with the U.K which is no great surprise to me.
More and more good news like this that comes out during this long winded process should only lead to the Pound getting stronger, we just need to get over the potential banana skin of the Supreme Court and Article 50 being invoked first.
If you are in the position where you need to carry out a large currency exchange either imminently or in the coming weeks and months then it is extremely important to have an experienced and proactive broker on your side. Most brokers out there will only try and convince you to buy or sell your currency as soon as possible but we are here to help you try and make the right decision for you.
Should you feel that I could be of assistance then I deal with both business clients and private individuals that need large currency transfers and would be more than happy to help you too. I created this site over 7 years ago and have helped thousands of clients that have contacted me save money over their bank or current broker.
All you need to do to make a simple enquiry is to email me (Daniel Wright) the creator of this site on email@example.com with a brief overview of what you need to do and I will be more than happy to contact you personally.
Sterling strength expected later in the week, Euro and Dollar sellers should be looking to act soon (Joshua Privett)
It’s been a fairly uneventful beginning to the year on the currency markets, with Sterling exchange rates against the Euro and the US Dollar moving heavily each day, yet by close of business we’ve tended to find ourselves back where we started.
GBP/EUR has reamined around the 1.16/17 mark, GBP/USD has held quite firmly at 1.23, and GBP/AUD around the 1.68-1.70 range.
This exchange rate behaviour is indicative of a market awaiting some very important news.
I hate to flog a dead horse for our regular readers by continuing to address the upcoming Supreme Court decision and the implications this will have for the Pound, but it is incredibly pertinent to anyone planning to buy or sell Sterling for a foreign currency. Not just over the next few weeks as we await the verdict, but over the next few months in the run up to the triggering of Article 50.
For those who are not aware, the Supreme Court is currently ruling an appeal of November’s Judicial Court decision to allow Parliament to vote on the enactment of Article 50 – the formal process to leave the EU.
As in November, financial markets should react well to the decision to involve Parliament in the Brexit process. The Pound’s value increases with investors gaining confidence that Parliament’s involvement will mean the Brexit process will be delayed to some degree due to cumbersome Parliamentary procedures, and that this increases the likelihood of a softer exit from the EU.
You can also argue that Parliament’s involvement means that the aims of the negotiations and how well they will progress will be much more public. This permits greater confidence to invest in the Pound as investors and financial institutions will have a greater understanding of what trajectory the UK economy, and therefore the Pound, will be taking in the medium-term.
The expectation is that the Supreme Court will uphold the initial conclusion of the Judicial court a few months ago. Based on November’s currency movements, this will likely cause 1-2 cent improvements on GBP/EUR, similar gains on GBP/USD, and likely larger positive spikes on GBP/AUD due to the volatile nature of the currency pairing.
The verdict is expected between the 12-17th of January, so if you are a Euro or Dollar seller, it may be wise to move ahead of this coming Thursday to avoid being caught up in any sudden and unannounced spikes in Sterling value when we are told the decision.
Furthermore, on Wednesday data sets for manufacturing and industrial sectors of the UK economy, and a first look at growth for the final quarter of last year, will be released in the morning for markets to react to.
The manufacturing sector has enjoyed a resurgence following the sudden devaluation of the Pound in June, and growth in the UK economy has shown on mutliple occasions since the June vote to Leave the EU to be resiliant to the economic shocks this had entailed.
So, in short, very good news is expected to be provided to Euro, US Dollar and Australian Dollar buyers in the short-term. Two major events are expected to make your transfers more profitable, which is why anyone looking to conduct a Sterling purchase, even over the next few months, should look to how you can secure these still historically favourable exchange rates before Wednesday.
If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well be worth your time getting in touch with me on firstname.lastname@example.org in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.
I have never had an issue beating the rates of exchange on offer elsewhere, and these current exchange rates can be fixed in place for anyone wanting to prebook their currency transfer later in the year at current exchange rates.
So another referendum is due to happen this weekend, this time over in Italy. Unlike the recent one in the U.K this is not a vote to leave the EU but a vote on constitutional reform.
This is extremely key as it may result in another heavy bout of uncertainty for Italy should the vote got the wrong way for Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, who has already warned that should the vote go against him and stop him from making certain changes that he feels he need to make then he would be looking to step down.
We already have various economic issues for Italy, most notably the banks who appear to be struggling and walking a bit of a tightrope, so should we then see huge political uncertainty added to Italian woes then the Euro may have a bad start to next week and you may potentially see GBP/EUR exchange rates go above 1.20 again in trading early next week.
Considering exchange rates against the Euro were lingering around the 1.10 mark merely a few weeks ago, anyone looking to buy Euros must be looking at the markets with a small smirk on their face as their pending purchase has got a lot cheaper recently.
Sunday night/Monday morning will be the next point of interest for anyone with a Euro interest and with so many other large decisions pending within Europe over the next few months I firmly believe the next 12 months are going to be extremely testing for the Euro.
We cannot forget there is also an election in Austria this weekend too with the far right party holding a great chance of success, causing more issues politically within the area.
All of these referendums and elections will impact all major currencies as we will see alterations in global attitude to risk, so the perceived ‘riskier’ currencies such as the AUD, NZD and ZAR may lose strength and those that are perceived as safer havens may gain ground if results cause uncertainty.
If you have any currency to exchange, no matter where you are based then we can help you out here. Should you wish to have a friendly, proactive and experienced broker on your side then we always welcome new clients to get in touch. I have personally been assisting clients moving money overseas and bringing money back for nearly 10 years so you can be confident that your transaction will be dealt with smoothly, securely and at the best rate of exchange.
Feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) on email@example.com should you be in this position and I will be more than happy to contact you personally. I look forward to speaking with you.
Sterling continues its recovery as UK growth estimates meet expectations, but will the recovery continue? (Joseph Wright)
It’s been quite a bullish week for the Pound this week as economic data releases have impressed and Sterling has gained a good few cents vs many other major currency pairs.
Towards the end of last week the UK’s Retail Sales Figures for July were better than expected, and this week the weak Pound has resulted in the UK’s Manufacturing Output reaching a 2 year high as people overseas are keen to pick up goods at low prices. These positive sets of data, coupled with today’s Gross Domestic Product estimates coming out as expected, have boosted sentiment towards the Pound as this has been reflected within currency markets as the Pound has gained almost 3 cents vs the US Dollar, and almost 2 cents vs the Euro.
Those that plan to convert their Sterling into a foreign currency at a higher rate will of course be hoping that the Pound continues to climb, and whilst I think it may do, there are a number of risks to holding off so it may be an idea to make at least part of that trade at current levels with the hope of averaging up in future. This is an approach many of our clients are currently taking and we’re here to help by keeping them updated with what’s going on in the marketplace.
Those who plan to purchase Pounds, by converting their Euros,US Dollars or Aussie Dollars for example, may wish to get in contact and check whether our rates are better than your current providers/banks as whilst current levels are particularly favourable, a return to risky attitudes from investors is likely to drive up Sterling’s value, especially if economic data out of the UK continues to surprisingly impress.
Major economic announcements that could sway markets next week are Thursday’s Manufacturing Data which is expected to show an improvement, and then next Friday will be Non-Farm Payroll and Unemployment Data out of the US. If you would like to discuss these and how they can affect markets, do get in touch and I’ll be happy to explain.
If you would like to discuss an upcoming currency requirement you’re planning, in terms of the timings and getting the best rate of exchange available, feel free to contact me on firstname.lastname@example.org in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible. You can also call in directly to reception and ask for Joe on 01494 787 478.
RBA cut rates in Australia as expected – U.K PMI Construction out this morning – Will it follow the doom and gloom of yesterday? What will the Bank of England do? (Daniel Wright)
Overnight the RBA cut interest rates in Australia leading to a slight drop in the value of the Australian Dollar and a small buying opportunity for AUD buyers.
The cut was widely expected by the markets so we didn’t see a huge movement in rates, I feel that many investors and speculators are waiting to see what happens with the Bank Of England on Thursday at 12:00. Again, an interest rate cut is expected so I wouldn’t see this having a huge impact on exchange rates however the most important factor on Thursday will be the minutes from the meeting, if we see any nod to QE (Quantitative Easing) and what they suggest could happen next for the U.K economy.
QE is basically printing more money and is generally seen as negative for a currency, so if they do introduce more this is where the Pound may slide. Any other comments on future fiscal policy may also give the Pound an extremely volatile afternoon so keep a close eye on exchange rates this Thursday.
First thing today we have U.K PMI construction figures at 09:30am – This is also one to watch as yesterday the manufacturing figures were the worst since Feb 2013 and led to a drop in the value of Sterling. Throughout August we will continue to see the first full data sets post brexit so the Pound may be in for a tough month.
Should you be in the process of buying a property, sending money overseas for your business or exchanging currency for any other reason then it is well worth getting in contact with me (Daniel Wright) the creator of this site directly. It is rare that we cannot help clients get a better rate than they are being offered elsewhere and we also but a lot of effort into helping our clients time their purchase. You can email me on email@example.com with a brief description of your requirements and a contact number and I will be more than happy to deal with you personally.
Today is a very important day for the pound with the Bank of England meeting to discuss their latest policy decisions. The pound is very likely to slip lower if the Bank of England announce an interest rate cut. If you are buying or selling the pound there are various outcomes to consider, most of which look to be sterling negative.
We could be looking at an Interest rate cut of 0.25%, an interest rate cut of 0.5% and some Quantitative Easing. If you are expecting the pound to rise you need the Bank to refrain from any of the above, this would see the pound sharply rise in value. This is unlikely since Mark Carney has already hinted at cutting and to not do so with damage his credibility. If you have a transfer to consider and require some assistance with the timing and planning of any pound sterling currency exchanges please feel free to contact me Jonathan on firstname.lastname@example.org for further information.
Whatever happens the events of today and any commentary will help shape the pound for the next few weeks as there is looming uncertainty at present over just where the Bank of England Sterling stand on the economy and how they view recent events. Exchange rate continue to swing wildly with no real direction being established, just as one trend is emerging something happens to alter the forecast and the rates change again. Just this morning GBPEUR was at 1.2045 but now it is at 1.1860, this big shift lower is I believe in anticipation of what the Bank of England will announce tomorrow. GBPEUR could trade between 1.14 and 1.20 depending on what the Bank announce. GBPUSD has hit 1.33 but could easily roll back down to 1.25, my top end on GBPUSD would be 1.35.
There are so many different possibilities from what lies ahead for the pound it is impossible to cover them in one post. All I would say is that if you have a transfer to consider making some plans is vital, we are here to help with the planning and the execution of any deals. I am very confident I can undercut any rates you are receiving elsewhere, please email me on email@example.com and let me know what you are looking to. Please note we specialise in bank to bank currency exchanges over £10,000 for overseas property deals and business transfers.