Tag Archives: currency

What can you do on pound sterling exchange rates this week?

Sterling is performing well as UK GDP pointed to further improvements in the UK economy and we get back to pre-crisis levels. The unbalanced recovery is a concern and it appears unlikely the pound will just keep rising!

With the uncertainty surrounding Greece now removed from the market attention has shifted to wider concerns on interest rates and economic recovery. Personally I cannot see the UK raising interest rates any time soon but the pound appears likely to reach to the data as it has done in the last week.

I think it is really important to understand your options when buying currency with us so here is the information!

1 – Store currency safely in a client account. You don’t need a foreign bank account to buy foreign exchange with us! You can buy Euros and we can keep them here until you need them sending out perfect for business or overseas property investors who don’t yet have a foreign bank account. You can split payments too. eg buy 200k euros and send out 20k euros for deposit leaving remainder here until a foreign bank is open or you need sending out. This means you can buy whilst rates are good not just when you need the currency or have opened a foreign bank account.

2 – We can offer a forward contract to fix today’s rates for up to one year in advance useful for business and anyone buying a large volume of currency. You pay a deposit and choose how far forward. Eg you could fix 300k euros for 3 months and draw it down after 8 weeks if you needed them earlier. Again you don’t need a foreign bank account open to buy with us and can buy or lock in to a price whilst rates are good.

3 – Limit Order’s target a rate you wish to buy currency at in the future. eg 1.60 on GBPUSD. You give us a firm order and we place it into the market. Once the rate is achievable we buy at your desired rate.

If you need to buy or sell the pound understanding all of your options and what is going on in the market is the best way to minimise your exposure. For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk. Just email a quick outline of your position and your situation and I can hopefully offer some useful information to help you get a better deal.

I look forward to hearing from you!

 

Strong GDP Figures surprise markets and boost Sterling (Joshua Privett)

Even though yesterday was a relatively quiet day for data releases, significant weakening for Sterling was recorded. Rounding off a general trend away from the fresh 8 year highs reached last week for GBP/EUR rates at 1.44, poor retail sales figures released in the UK economy caused rates to drop to the low 1.40’s. It was expected that due to the contraction recorded in the retail sector, normally a fantastic performer for the UK economy, that GDP figures will dissapoint markets further on the British economy. As a result, this lack of confidence in the Pound caused rates dip back below the magic 1.40 marker.

However, GDP figures came in higher than expected, surprising everyone, and causing all of the losses for the Pound on Monday to be reversed. Rates suddenly catapulted up to 1.41 this morning. But it is important to note that rates were moving in the opposite direction before this little psychological stunt in the markets. GDP figures also did exceed expectations at the start of the month, they simply did not come in lower than the 0.7% previously predicted.

Without strong data to change the current course of GBP/EUR rates following the agreekment, I fully expect rates to continue journeying downwards. Those looking to purchase Euros should call 01494 787 478 and ask for Joshua to receive a free quote on your transfer. Alternatively, email me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss how to maximise the value of your Sterling while the market is moving against you.

Why the pound can only strengthen from here

When trying to determine the exchange rate forecast there are various indicators to consider which can help us to work out the ultimately impossible to answer question ‘what will happen next on exchange rates’. My favourite indicator to look at is the words and comments of the central bankers and their teams to see what kind of language they are adopting. The Bank of England today confirmed that they felt the time for an interest rate rise is moving forward and as such sterling is highly likely to strengthen in the future.

One of the main reasons the Bank of England kept interest rates on hold this month is the fears over Greece. That is not to say that removing Greece from the equation would have led to an interest rate rise but that it was a factor preventing most members from looking at the economic situation of the UK. With Greece seemingly dealt with now market attention has and will continue to look more at the economic data and see to what extent it corresponds to the Bank’s own language on raising interest rates.

Why do interest rates strengthen a currency?

Raising Interest rates by a central bank strengthens the currency concerned and the mere prospect of that event happening in the future will serve to increase the value of the currency concerned. When considering a large currency purchase and trying to understand which direction your exchange rate will take, working out what drives the exchange rate will be of key importance to understand what might happen.

Therefore if UK economic data keeps showing the UK economy is growing, creating jobs and people are spending money the Bank of England will be more likely to raise the base rate which should strengthen the pound.

The pound has strengthened and is currently enjoying multi-year highs against the Euro, Australian dollar, Rand, Canadian dollar, Kiwi dollar and the Swedish Kroner. If you need to buy the pound then you might wish to make some plans sooner rather than later. If you are business getting paid in Euros or an overseas property investor looking to repatriate funds and buy in the UK our services might really be up your street.

If you are considering a large volume currency purchase why not get in touch to see if we can offer some assistance with your exchange? Alongside friendly and knowledgeable customer service you can check your current exchange rate to see if you really are getting the best deal.

My name is Jonathan and I have been working as a currency specialist for over 5 years. I like to think I am approachable and can answer any questions you might have not just on the markets but also our services!

Please feel free to drop me an email on jmw@currencies.co.uk and I really do look forward to hearing from you :)

Sterling Euro breaks past 1.40 as predicted (Tom Holian)

If you’ve been reading my previous articles then you’ll not be too surprised to see Sterling gain vs the Euro today as the Greek saga continues.

Last night’s discussions did not end with a deal and with only a week away from their payment to the IMF the clock is ticking faster and faster resulting in Euro weakness.

We are now at the 2nd best exchange rate for buying Euros in 8 years creating some excellent buying opportunities to send money overseas.

The Greek news is dominating the market and until this is resolved we could see some further gains but we could still be days away from a deal being reached.

I think a deal will be in place by the end of the month which is likely to settle global currency markets and bring some certainty to the situation but until then if you have to buy Euros it is worth taking advantage of these current highs.

If you have a currency transfer to make and want to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote. Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

 

 

Could there be a Resolution to Greece’s Debt Problems? (Daniel Johnson)

Crucial to any GBP/EUR trade is the situation in Greece. 

Greece are due to pay €300m to their creditors on Friday. The latest news  is that the IMF and the ECB have put a deal together to present to Athens. Tsipiras representing the Greeks is also set to produce his proposal. The Currency market does move on rumor, and news a deal is probable has seen the Euro strengthen considerably over Sterling already.

I feel the Greeks will make their payment. However trouble looms later this month with a further €600m to be paid. My view is Greece will remain in the Eurozone. It is in both sides interest to come to an arrangement.  As if Greece were to leave it would be catastrophic for their economy and the IMF and ECB want their money back. What also has to be taken into account is if Greece were to leave the Eurozone it will set a precedent.  Would Italy or other nations follow suit? If other members were to leave, Euro confidence would take a severe hit.

Current market conditions for Euro buyers are still very favorable, sitting close to the eight year high of late. I have witnessed many trying to hang on for that extra buck and get caught out.

Thank you for reading today’s Blog, I would greatly appreciate any feedback you have and would take pleasure in replying personally. I am more than than happy to assist you with any of your currency requirements. Feel free to e-mail me at dcj@currencies.co.uk or call on 01494 787 478 and ask for Daniel Johnson.

 

To what extent will sterling recover in the coming weeks?

Sterling is down against all currencies on political uncertainty arising from the most uncertain General Election in decades. The Tories and Labour are neck and neck fighting to gain any seats to reduce their reliance on other parties in coalition. Just what can we expect for the pound in the next 24 hours and weeks? It looks like sterling is going to fall further whoever gets into power!

Tory Majority – Sterling Positive. As plans on the economy to keep on the current course should help investor confidence surrounding the pound. Although the Tories have pledged a referendum on Europe which could damage business confidence for the coming months and in the future.

Tory and Lib Coalition – Sterling Positive. The Current partnership has reduced Unemployment and is currently in charge of a growing economy.

Tory, Lib, UKIP – Mildly Sterling Positive. Increaeses the chances of an EU Referendum being held sooner than expected which could be GBP negative.

Labour Majority – Sterling Negative. The increased spending plans are unlikely to boost confidence in sterling and fears over the mismanagement of the economy would be rife.

Labour Lib Coalition – Mildly Sterling Negative. The Liberal Influence may be viewed positively by markets.

Labour SNP Coalition – Strongly Sterling Negative. The SNP are likely to seek another referendum on the Union which they are more likely to win than before. The splitting up of the Union could be very worrying for investors seeking certainty on the outlook of the UK.

In short there are many outcomes that may affect your price! To be kept up to date with all the potential outcomes and learn what happens please contact jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR could well drop 6 cents! Are you buying or selling?

‘Sterling loses significant ground as election uncertainty heats up’ could be a headline next week as the most uncertain election in years takes place. Sterling lost 5 cents in the weeks leading up to the election in 2010. The same was true of the Scottish Referendum. Can you really afford to take risks with so much at stake? Many people buying a foreign currency with the pound have been locking in on forward contracts lately to guarantee they won’t get a worse rate in the future.

If you are transferring currency in the coming weeks or months please don’t take the current rates of exchange for granted, it could end up very costly. The election is such a rare unique event trying to make firm predictions could be a big mistake. Having said that it seems reasonable to expect the exchange rate will drop as it has done in the past at such times.

If you need to buy or sell it might be a good idea to make some plans as major uncertainty is due. For more information on just what to expect and how to benefit from the uncertainty please contact me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR rates unstable around Greece

GBPEUR levels are holding up well and the reason for this surprise so close to the election is the Greek story. The latest is that they have initially, up to Friday to get a budget reform plan accepted by the ECB and IMF before the next lump of funds are released to them. They also have a large amount of repayments to be made next month which is another concern. The only play they have is to make this as muddy as possible which has weakened the euro.

The deadline for the next ‘update’ probably not a solution is on Friday of this week and when this happens I expect the Euro to strengthen making buying the single currency more expensive. This however could easily be the catalysts that starts the rates on a a negative trend in the run up to the election in the UK which is just 15 days away.

What I am saying is that many experts are thinking that we will now have a negative trend start for GBPEUR levels. So if you have euros to buy in the near future you have to have a very strong argument to wait. For a full break down of forecasts, live prices and tools contact myself or the team via hse@currencies.co.uk

 

 

 

‘Luck shines most on those who have made preparation to grasp their opportunities’

Do you know who is going to win the election in the UK? Nor do I. But I think a hung parliament is looking more and more likely, this is something anyone considering buying or selling sterling should be very aware of. The pound is likely to fall in the coming weeks as uncertainty rises as to who will take the reign of the UK public finances. This is not a time to be sitting on the fence waiting for something to happen!

Moody’s the ratings agency confirmed yesterday that they view a UK exit from the EU more damaging than any uncertainty over just how the election pans out. As a client pointed out to me recently any uncertainty in the UK parliament may pale into insignificance when compared with some of the uncertainty in the Eurozone at the moment!

Simply put no one can say exactly what will happen. But from my experience of past events (the 2010 election and the Scottish Referendum) sterling is likely to fall before the event before rising after. However with the Tories pledging a referendum on Europe and Labour pledging to increase spending neither outcome looks good from a market perspective. It may be that sterling could fall further after the election or around the result as the parties scramble to get in bed with one another over important issues.

If you are considering a sterling transfer in the future the coming weeks may present at opportunity that does not return. Making plans in advance is the only way to limit your risk and help maximise your currency exchange. We offer a specialist proactive service to help you get the most from the market when transferring money overseas. This blog is intended to highlight important events and information in the market so that you can help minimise your risk through an informed decision.

To really get the most from our service speaking to one of our team or myself is recommended. I Jonathan Watson have worked as a foreign exchange broker for the same company for 6 years and am here to assist in the planning and execution of any international money transfer you need to make. I cannot tell you exactly what to do but hope to provide useful insight and a platform for achieving the most for your money. Even if funds are not required at this stage with plenty of uncertainty around, utilising a forward contract or a stop loss or limit order might be a good idea.

I am very confident I can show you a saving on the exchange rate versus other sources and also offer a friendly, knowledgeable service above any bank or foreign exchange broker. If you wish to learn more about the pound and just what to expect plus what you can do about the uncertainty up ahead please email me on jmw@currencies.co.uk

Other Currencies News

CAD – Unemployment data today at 13.30 has helped the current 2 month high the Loonie dollar is enjoying against sterling. In a nutshell the Canadian dollar is benefitting from an improved Oil price and overall improvements in their biggest trading partner America’s economy. The Loonie may well track further future projected improvements in the USD against sterling so anyone buying the Canadian dollar in the future might wish to make plans sooner than later.

AUD – The Reserve Bank of Australia decided not to cut their interest rate as expected helping the Aussie to strengthen against sterling. Expectations are for the RBA to make at least one more rate cut before the end of the year as they seek a weaker currency to help boost their exports.

ZAR – A general improvement in risk appetite and commodity prices has helped the Rand to rise against sterling, anyone selling Rand for the pound might want to move on any GBP weakness before the upcoming election.

No matter which currency you are buying or selling and when, please feel free to make contact to be kept up to date with the latest news and events which may alter your price. Whether a regular business buying currency or a private property investor looking at a one off international payment, I am sure I can offer you something of interest.

I look forward to hearing from you, please don’t forget to vote :)

Jonathan

Important economic data out tomorrow for those with an interest in Euros and Dollars (Daniel Wright)

Although quiet for the U.K tomorrow brings us two fairly important pieces of economic data from both Europe and the U.S with European growth figures and U.S Non-Farm payroll data due out at 10:00am and 13:30pm respectively.

The final revision for growth figures during quarter 4 of 2014 is due out at 10am and expectations are for the figure to have been revised up a little which may lead to a little Euro strength to end off what has been a torrid week for Euro exchange rates.

Later on in the day we have U.S Non-Farm Payroll data which is a data release important for those with a Dollar interest and indeed interest in the ‘riskier’ currencies such as the AUD, NZD and ZAR. Non-Farm Payroll data is essentially the number of people in Non-agricultural employment over in the States and is a key indication as to how their economy is performing.

This release can cause quite a lot of volatility because predictions are made in advance and these can be wildly out. The market moves on rumours and predictions as well as fact, and should the figure come out quite a way from initial predictions the market does correct itself rather swiftly.The reason this effects the AUD, NZD and ZAR and pretty much most majors is because as I am sure you can imagine it will affect attitude to risk and will lead to rapid movements of large amounts of money globally in what generally presents an interesting week to say the least without any surprises popping up during the course of it.

If you have an upcoming transfer to carry out and want to get the best exchange rates along with great customer service and knowledge of the markets then email me (Daniel Wright) directly djw@currencies.co.uk I welcome all enquiries for bank to bank transfers however i’m afraid I cannot help with cash transactions or speculation.

 

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