Sterling exchange rates have taken quite a tumble in early morning trading today, following comments from Prime Minister Theresa May over the weekend suggesting there is a higher possibility of us looking for a ‘hard brexit’ and that control of our borders appeared to be a higher focus than remaining in the single market.
Why does a hard brexit weaken the Pound?
A hard brexit leads to Sterling weakness because it could seriously hamper trade for the U.K and a report from the centre for economics and business research discovered that all sectors that create wealth for the economy would be negatively effected. Obviously a lot would depend on any agreements that get put in place but these may take a great deal of time and the worry is that it is highly doubtful that any agreement that is eventually sought does not end favouring one sector over another, which would mean someone will end up missing out.
What this does create is uncertainty for all sectors within U.K trade and uncertainty is extremely bad for an economy, a company and most importantly for a currency so this has led to the Pound dropping off and losing value all morning so far.
Supreme Court decision to change things?
One factor that may turn around the form of the Pound is the eagerly awaited Supreme Court decision on whether to overturn the need for Thesera May to have to put the triggering of Article 50 through Parliament before moving forward.
Should the Supreme Court stick with the original decision then there is a chance members of Parliament will aim for more of a say in how things are handled which may stop a full on ‘hard brexit’ and could also slow down the process a little which would hopefully give the Pound back a little strength.
On the flip side, a decision to overturn the original result may kick the Pound whilst it is down and the Sterling exchange rates may get even weaker again.
They are back together on January 11th and we expect to see a decision in the few days after this, what this does mean is that if you have a currency exchange to carry out you need to be poised and ready to react quickly.
If you are fairly busy day to day and you do not have time to watch the rates (which move by the second) then why not let one of our dedicated, helpful and friendly brokers do this for you. We have a variety of tools available to assist you in maximising your rate of exchange including rate alerts, limit orders and forward contracts.
Should you need to carry out a currency exchange involving any major currency for you business, a property purchase/sale or any other reason then feel free to contact me (Daniel Wright) on firstname.lastname@example.org personally. Please leave a brief overview of what you need to do and I will personally contact you to discuss the options available and to tailor a game plan. Please note we do not deal in cash or travel money. You can also call our trading floor on 01494 787 478 please quote Pound Sterling Forecast and ask to speak Daniel Wright.