Tag Archives: dollar

The ‘Trump Train’ market surge fades but Sterling manages to hold on to it’s gains, but for how long? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has surged across the board through November for a number of reasons, with the main catalysts being the likely delay to invoking Article 50 and beginning the Brexit process, and Trumps election victory in the US boosting sentiment surrounding the UK economy.

Those planning on converting Pounds into another foreign currency have been dealt a good hand this month, as the Pound has gained clawed back quite alot of it’s losses since the Brexit vote.

This month alone the Pound has gained 5 cents vs the US Dollar and 7 cents vs the Euro. In monetary terms a £200,000 GBP to EUR currency exchange is now gaining an additional €15,000+ in the space of 30 days which just highlights the importance of timing large currency conversions.

As a specialist currency brokerage we’re here to monitor the currency markets on behalf of our clients, and in volatile trading conditions like we’ve seen this month our service can really save clients large amounts of money due to the assistance with timings and reacting to market movements.

There will be manufacturing and construction figures released later this week which could affect GBP exchange rates depending on their outcome, and if you are planning a currency exchange between the Pound and another major currency and would like to plan around these events, do get in touch regarding timings and exchange rates.

The Pound has so far held onto it’s gains made this month, but currencies do tend to fall quicker than they climb and if some ‘Hard Brexit’ related news is released there is a chance the Pound could lose some or even all of it’s recent gains.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible. 

You can also call in and ask reception to speak with me (Joe) on 01494 787 478. 

Sterling exchange rates boosted after the Autumn Budget, will the Pound continue to strengthen? (Joseph Wright)

The current levels for converting Pounds into other major currencies are surprisingly attractive when we consider the outlook for the Pound just a few weeks ago.

I think that people planning on converting their Pounds into another major currency, for a property purchase for example, have been dealt a fortunate hand as the Pound hit a 2-month high yesterday on a trade weighted basis, whereas just a few weeks ago the pound was trading at over 5 year lows against the Euro and at over 30 year lows against the US Dollar.

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is now trading closer to 1.20 than 1.10 after gaining 7 cents off the back of Donald Trump’s election victory. The UK economy, and therefore the Pound, has been boosted by the ‘Trump train’ after his warm words about the relationship between the UK and US in his campaign. Barack Obama had previously said the UK would be at the back of the queue on business deals whereas Trump said the opposite, and Trump also has a number of interests in the UK.

The gains for the Pound against the Euro specifically are extensive, making a €200,000 purchase £10,650 cheaper.

The Pound was boosted further yesterday afternoon after the Autumn Budget sprung no surprises. I do think that those planning on converting Pound into another major currency should watch the rates and news as the Pound could come crashing down quicker than it’s risen as is usually the case.

If you are planning a currency conversion involving the Pound, it’s worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

You can also call in and ask reception to speak with me (Joe) on 01494 787 478.

Sterling exchange rates receive another boost, but will the Pound hold onto its recent gains? (Joseph Wright)

Sterling is the best performing currency in the G10 so far this week, after it was boosted yesterday off the back of some Brexit positive news from the UK’s Prime Minister Theresa May.

Whilst addressing the CBI conference (a gathering of the leading names from the world of business, politics and media) May gave a number of hints that the government will be looking to create new opportunities through ‘new and dynamic’ trade deals. She implied that she would be looking for a transitional deal for business after the Brexit which suggests that she’s open to the UK retaining access to the single market for as long as possible.

Readers hoping for a stronger Pound should continue to pay close attention to comments by leading figures within the UK surrounding the Brexit.

The Brexit is the biggest driver of currency movement involving the Pound, with any talk of the UK retaining access to the single market, the Brexit initiation process being delayed or extensions to the 2 year separation process being met well by the markets.

The Pound is at it’s highest level vs the Euro in 2 months after gaining around 6 cents in a short period of time, mostly due to the High Courts recent ruling, Trumps election victory and May’s comments yesterday at the CBI conference.

There are a number of major financial institutions that despite Sterling’s recent gains, are still expecting the Pound to decline to levels not seen for 5 years during 2017.

HSBC remains particularly bearish regarding Sterling’s projected value next year, and DNB Markets have specifically given the GBP/EUR pair a 12 month price target of 1.0869 which is almost 10 cents weaker than its current level.

If you would like to be kept up to date with the latest Sterling news, and would like to discuss the timing of an upcoming currency exchange you’re planning on making involving the Pound, feel free to get in touch with me (Joe) directly on jxw@currencies.co.uk for a free overview. 

We’re here to help you make a well informed decision on when to make your currency transfer, and to help you benefit from highly competitive exchange rates as we’re one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible. You can also call in and ask reception for Joe on 01494 787 478. 

Sterling spikes as Theresa May reassures business and brings confidence to the Pound (Daniel Wright)

The Pound has had a fantastic start to the week, gaining ground against every major currency but the South African Rand over the course of trading today.

As I write this we have seen Sterling exchange rates breach 1.17 against the Euro, hanging around the 1.25 mark against the Dollar and closing in on 1.70 against the Australian Dollar.

Days like this really do show just why it is key to keep in contact with an experienced and proactive currency broker, I have informed lots of clients today about the spike and many of them have taken advantage which has made their currency purchase a lot cheaper.

We deal with overseas property purchases/sales, business transactions, wage payments and much more so if you are in the position that you may need to carry out a currency exchange for any of these reasons then feel free to contact me (Daniel Wright) directly on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be happy to get in touch personally.

Later this week we will have Chancellor Philip Hammond and his Autumn Statement. Investors and speculators alike will be watching this with baited breath, waiting on hints for how the economy is due to be tackled throughout the ‘brexit’ process and how he plans top approach certain matters.

We still have the small matter of the high court decision regarding Article 50 so this may lead to some exceedingly volatile times coming up which is why it is essential to have someone on your side.

All of the writers here work for one of the top foreign exchange companies in the U.K and can help anyone around the world with their currency exchanges.

We pride ourselves on achieving our clients market leading rates of exchange but on top of this we like to think our level of service is second to none. We now have over 90,000 satisfied clients and have helped thousands of readers of this blog save money over their bank or current broker over the past 7 years.

Feel free to contact me (Daniel Wright) by emailing djw@currencies.co.uk if you feel I can be of assistance to you and I will be more than happy to contact you personally to discuss the various options available  to you in simple terms.

Will Sterling lose its recent gains or continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

After performing well against the major currencies for the past week or so, the Pound has dropped sharply this morning wiping away much of the currencies recent gains.

After trading close to 1.17 against the Euro for the first time in months, the GBP/EUR pair have tested the late 1.14’s within the past 20 minutes and cable (GBPUSD) has also lost a cent this morning.

Sterling has recently gained a lot of value after Donald Trump’s successful presidential campaign in the US. The property tycoon has commercial ties within the UK, was pro-brexit and his mother was Scottish. His success in the presidential election has so far boded very well for the Pound as the currency recently has one of it’s best week’s against the US Dollar since October 2009, and the High Courts decision to rule in favour on whether parliament must be consulted before invoking Article 50 has also boosted the Pounds value.

The UK Prime Minister, Theresa May has appealed the High Court’s ruling and I think whether or not she’s successful will have a large bearing on how the Pound performs, as the Pound is likely to fall once again if Theresa May is successful just like it did when she initially outlined her plans of invoking Article 50 at the beginning of next year.

There’s a chance that the Pound could drop back to levels seen prior to the High Court Ruling and Trumps victory, and if so then now is the time to take advantage of what’s left of the Pounds recent gains.

If you want to be kept up to date on the markets and you would also like to ensure that you are getting the very top levels of exchange for an imminent currency transfer or even a longer term one then I can help you with this.

Not only do we give clients up to date market information but we all work for one of the largest and longest serving currency brokerages in the U.K, so even if you have dealt with your current broker or bank for a long time I would be surprised if I could not show you a saving over what they are offering you – You can email me (Joseph Wright) directly on jxw@currencies.co.uk  and I will be more than happy to contact you personally to discuss the various options we have available to you.

Trump victory and how it has impacted Sterling exchange rates today (Daniel Wright)

Following on from the announcement this morning that Donald Trump had won the U.S Presidential election Sterling exchange rates have had a fantastic afternoon, with the pound up against every major currency. Sterling climbed to 1.14 against the Euro, 1.25 against the Dollar, 1.72 against the New Zealand Dollar, 1.65 on the Australian Dollar, 1.22 on the Swiss Franc and 1.69 against the Canadian Dollar.

Initially we saw a fairly large sell off for the riskier currencies (Australian Dollar, New Zealand Dollar and South African Rand) however as of writing this they had started to claw back quite a bit of ground. Stocks and shares had a similar reaction, initially dropping off quite harshly and then slowly creeping back up as the day has gone on.

It appears the markets in general are waiting to see what Trump says next and how he plans to move forward with the economy before the next move. The general thinking is that a trade deal for the U.K may now not be “at the back of the queue” as Trump would favour the U.K getting a deal a little more than Obama may have.

I personally feel that focus will now move on to Brexit once again so be aware that the media will now be looking to fill their pages up with new material as the Trump/Clinton battle has cooled off.

There is a chance now that Sterling may fall back into fashion, and with Sterling exchange rates so low the Pound is cheap to buy so I would not be surprised to see this trend continue, but do beware that further Brexit news may dampen this.

For the rest of the week I feel we will more than likely see some volatility depending on what we hear from Trump, but there are a few other releases of note for the markets to digest.

We have the RBNZ interest rate decision over in New Zealand this evening and expectations are for a cut from 2% down to 1.75% which may weaken the New Zealand Dollar a little more. Most important may be the press conference after it and if there are any indications of further cuts.

More likely than not the markets will be hinging off of Trumps every word in the coming days and weeks, and with the U.S being a number of hours ahead of the U.K we may see large swings overnight.

If you are in the position where you may need to carry out a currency exchange involving buying or selling the Pound then it would be sensible to get in contact with me. I have worked at one of the largest currency brokerages in the U.K for the past 10 years and can assist you with sending money overseas or bringing money back. We do not only offer market leading rates of exchange but also an exceptional level of customer service too. Feel free to contact me (Daniel Wright) if you feel I may be able to assist you. Even if you already use a broker it is still worth spending two minutes emailing me as I would be surprised if I could not save you money.

You can email me directly on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will get back to you straight from our trading floor.

Finally some positive movements for the Pound! I know a lot of our regular readers have been hoping for this…

 

US Election to cause Major Volatility on the Markets (Daniel Johnson)

The impact of the US election on the currency markets

The US election will have a major impact on the currency markets, with results expected in at around 4am. I would expect the markets to react in a less volatile fashion if Hilary Clinton is to gain power as she is seen as the safer bet for the US economy. Janet Yellen the head of the Federal Reserve indicated at the end of last year there could be as many as four interest rate hikes during 2016, none of which are yet to materialise. Although the FED are meant to act as a separate entity to the government I can’t help that think an interest rate hike has been put on hold due to the uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election.  If Clinton gets in it would bring some form of stability to the US economy and a rate hike in December would be far more likely.

Although Trump is the current underdog, the election is far from a foregone conclusion. If Trump gets in I would expect big swings in value for the US Dollar. His outlandish ideas if implemented will have major implications on the world economy. He has stated his intentions to cut trade levels with China which potentially could wipe trillions off both country’s GDP. I hate using the word trillion, it reminds of school ground exaggeration, but on this occasion it is justified. He also managed to wipe 10% of the Mexican Peso due to his views on immigration and he hasn’t even got into the oval office.

Possible outcomes for Major  Currency Pairings<

Pound to US Dollar

In Event of a Clinton Victory

Expect USD to gain further ground on the Pound. Not large gains as I think this is factored into the market to some extent.

In Event of a Trump Victory

Expect the US Dollar to weaken considerably, this may be a small window of opportunity for US Dollar buyers as further Brexit concerns will no doubt weaken Sterling in the near future.

Euro to US Dollar

EUR/USD is the most frequently traded currency pairing in the world. Expect volatility.

In Event of a Clinton Victory

Expect Dollar strength as investors flood the US Dollar as a safe haven investment.

In Event of a Trump Victory

Expect the US Dollar to weaken significantly. The Euro is currently in a fragile position  due serious underlying problems such as the Greek debt crisis, Italian Bank’s bad loans in excess 0f €360bn, shocking inflation levels and the threat of further referendums. If you are buying US Dollars it would be wise to take advantage of this possible outcome.

Pound to Australian Dollar

In Event of a Clinton Victory

If Clinton wins expect the Aussie to fall quite sharply in value as investors leave the riskier Aussie for the safer bet of the US Dollar as stability is returned to the US economy.

In Event of a Trump Victory

Expect the Australian Dollar to jump in value. It may well be one of the first picks for investors along with the New Zealand Dollar due to the high levels of interest available.

If  you have a currency requirement it is vital to be in touch with an experienced broker. The timing of your trade is crucial during such volatile times, If you have seasoned broker on board he/she can keep you up to date with what is happening in the market to help you make an informed decision. I will be happy to help you personally. If you inform me of the the currency pair you are trading, volume and time scale and I will provide a free strategy to suit your needs. I work for one of the top brokerages in the country and  I am in a position to better virtually every competitors rate of exchange. You would also be looking at saving anything up to 4% in comparison to high street banks. Please do get in touch by contacting me at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading my blog.

Daniel Johnson

Executive Dealer – Foreign Currency Direct PLC

 

Will last week’s High Court decision be a turning point of the Pound? (Joseph Wright)

Last week was the best week the Pound has had vs the US Dollar since October of 2009, as worries over the proposed ‘Hard Brexit’ eased.

Fears eased as England’s High Court ruled last Thursday that the Government needs parliamentary approval before starting the Brexit process, and the Pound has boosted across the board off the back this news after having a particularly difficult October.

The Pound had been generally declining against all major currency pairs since UK Prime Minister, Theresa May announced plans to invoke Article 50 at the end of March next year, which was considered a ‘Hard Brexit’ approach. Through October the currency lost around 5% vs most other major currency pairs so the High Court’s decision last week has of course been welcomed by those hoping to see Sterling strengthen.

Those hoping to see the Pound continue to climb, and it’s worth noting that the currency has held onto its gains from last week, will be hoping for further positive news surrounding the UK economy and a potential ‘Soft Brexit’. I think there will be movement within Sterling exchange rates when the outcome of the governments appeal against the High Court’s decision last week is announced, and if the government are unsuccessful I expect to see the pound rally once again.

On the other hand if the government is successful in the appeal, we can expect to see the Pound decline so those with a currency requirement involving the Pound would be wise to get in contact, as if there’s a big swing in exchange rates we’re able to make our clients aware very quickly.

Overnight the outcome of the US election is likely to be announced, and I think that a Clinton victory is likely to push the Pound downward as the US Dollar is likely to rally.

If you are planning to use GBP to buy or sell a foreign currency, it’s worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Sterling is on track for its worst month since June, will the decline continue? (Joseph Wright)

Despite a relatively bullish day for the Pound, particularly by its own recent standards, the currency is on track for it’s weakest month since the month of the Brexit vote back in June.

The reason behind today’s bullish Pound is a meeting between the Governor of the Bank of England, Mark Carney has had a meeting with Theresa May (UK Prime Minister) regarding his future, and the general feel around it so far is positive as just prior to their meetup, May announced that the Governor has her full support.

There were rumours in the city last week that Carney would shortly be announcing his planned departure in 2018 but as it stands that doesn’t seem to be the case. I think that if he decides to extend his stay until 2021 and complete a full 8-year term we could see the Pound spike upward once again but certainly not back up to the levels we saw at the beginning of October.

This uncertainty surrounding the key figure of the Bank of England has not come at a good time for the Pound’s value, after we’ve already seen the currency lose almost another 5% through October after Theresa May outlined the end of March as the time to invoke Article 50.

This week is set to be a busy one in terms of economic news releases, with Thursday expected to be the busiest day for Sterling exchange rates as it’s the day of the BoE’s next Interest Rate Decision. Mark Carney will also be speaking that day so feel free to get in touch to discuss any planned currency exchanges in more detail as planning around these events could be key.

If you want to be kept up to date on the markets and you would also like to ensure that you are getting the very top levels of exchange for an imminent currency transfer or even a longer term one then I can help you with this.

Not only do we give clients up to date market information but we all work for one of the largest and longest serving currency brokerages in the U.K, so even if you have dealt with your current broker or bank for a long time I would be surprised if I could not show you a saving over what they are offering you – You can email me (Joseph Wright) directly on jxw@currencies.co.uk  and I will be more than happy to contact you personally to discuss the various options we have available to you.

Sterling hits a two-day high after positive ‘Brexit’ comments, but is this just a short term opportunity? (Joseph Wright)

After facing an increasing amount of pressure throughout October, the Pound is under less downward pressure this afternoon after some positive comments from a Brexit minister.

At the time of writing Sterling is up against every major currency pair, and the reason behind the positive move is down to comments from junior Brexit minister David Jones, who suggested that any UK-EU treaty would be debated by parliament which is Sterling positive news as parliament is generally considered to be favouring a ‘Soft Brexit’.

By ‘Soft Brexit’ financial markets are referring to a long drawn out period of negotiations between the UK and EU whereby the UK retains access to the single market.

Those planning on making a currency conversion involving the Pound and another major currency, will need to be aware of how talk of a ‘Hard Brexit’ can negatively impact the Pound’s value. Earlier in the month a number of key public European figures such as Francois Hollande and Donald Tusk outlined their own ‘Hard Brexit” stance, and their comments sent the Pound downward.

Their comments added fuel to the fire after UK Prime Minister, Theresa May announced that the ‘Brexit’ initiation process will begin in March of next year.

Today’s Sterling positive comments have pushed the Pound up to a two-day high, and personally I think this has created a good opportunity for Sterling sellers as numerous financial institutions have predictions of a weaker Pound next year, with HSBC outlining GBP/EUR parity at the end of 2017 being one of the stand out predictions.

Tomorrow’s UK GDP Figures at 9.30am could further boost the Pound if the figure beats expectations, and feel free to get in touch if you wish to discuss this news event and the potential outcomes.

If you are planning a currency conversion involving the Pound and another major currency, it’s worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk  in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

You can also call in directly on 01494 787 478, just ask reception for Joe.