Tag Archives: GBPEUR exchange rates

Sterling gains on positive UK trade data, will the bullish trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The latest set of UK economic data surprised investors today and as a result, the Pound has received a welcome boost across the board.

After a very good November the Pound fell off it’s highs against both the Euro and the US Dollar earlier this week, but the currency is regaining some of it’s lost value and approaching those highs once again which the GBP/EUR pair approaching 1.20 once again.

The Pound has recovered particularly well versus the Euro after the European Central Bank (ECB) announced yesterday that it will be extending its bond purchasing program as a form of quantitative easing.

The Pound gained off the back of this news mostly due to Euro weakness but today those gains have been boosted further. UK Trade is looking a lot healthier after data released today showed October’s visible trade balance dropped to -£9.7bn when many had expected to see it drop from -£13.8bn down to -£11.8bn.

This reduction is of course good news for the UK, and trade balance figures are often discussed in financial media after earlier this year it was announced that the pound had the highest deficit within the developed world.

Now that GBP/USD is trading above 1.25 and GBP/EUR is closing in on 1.20 once again it appears that the Pound is looking healthy around these levels after gaining a lot of ground in a short period of time.

If you’re planning on taking advantage of the recent gains by Sterling by converting the currency into another major currency, feel free to get in contact to discuss  exchange rates and timings.

You can contact me directly jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Buying Euro and Dollar rates soar from Boris and David’s comments (Joshua Privett)

Fresh two and a half month highs were reached earlier today on buying Euro and Dollar exchange rates following surprising and contentious comments made by the men spearheading the Brexit project.

David Davis and Boris Johnson, the Brexit Secretary and the Foreign Secretary respectively, have come out this morning seemingly having taken a U-turn on key positions which financial markets pounced on immediately. At its peak GBP/EUR bridged 1.1950, GBP/USD breached 1.2690 and GBP/AUD just pipped over 1.7150.

Financial markets have made no secret that they want the UK to remain part of the single market. Collectively there is greater appetite for investment in the Pound if they know the transition away from the EU is expected to be gentler – hence the term ‘soft Brexit’.

Johnson, as was shown all over major newspapers today, has stated privately to ambassadors that he was ‘all for’ free movement of people. And David Davis has stated that the UK will likely continue to pay for preferential access to the single market today in a statement in the House of Commons.

An utter reversal on both Government and Boris’s own public opinions stated recently, and the greater likelihood of a softer Brexit suggested in the comments saw the Pound soar against all major pairings, with buying Euros and US Dollar buyers being the key winners.

However, as the day waned on the ‘run’ on the Pound began to lose its momentum and eventually fell back heavily. Speculators taking profit from such serious movements today are seen as the root cause.

Moving forward, GBP/EUR, GBP/USD and GBP/AUD exchange rates will need to navigate the upcoming Italian Referendum and US non-farm payroll figures.

The US figures are to be released tomorrow lunchtime and the Italian Referendum results are expected on Monday.

The referendum will be key for buying Euro rates as a NO result will likely mean the rise of the far right over in Italy, and create further questions marks regarding the Eurozone’s future. Polls are currently neck and neck, but heavy movement is expected on Monday either way. As such a premium will be put on being able to move quickly on Monday to secure tempting levels or protect yourself from any sudden downturns.

I strongly recommend that anyone with a foreign currency requirement using Sterling should contact me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss a strategy for your transfer to safeguard it from any adverse movements and to discuss how best to seize any particularly tempting levels which emerge in the short term.

I have never had an issue beating the rates of exchange on offer elsewhere, so a brief conversation could save you thousands on a prospective transfer.

I will also remind our regular readers that if you are looking to be securing an exchange rate for a future purchase based on the recent improvements in the Pound, this is easily done using a forward contract, whereby the rate is pre-booked at today’s levels to be utilized for a later date. Again simply email me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to discuss this further.

Sterling exchange rates enter December in good health, but will the Pound continue to climb? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is entering the new month in a much stronger position than it entered November, after the currency gained an impressive 4.5% against the Euro through last month as well as performing well against a number of other major currencies.

Yesterday afternoon the Pound spiked upward against the Euro, as did the US Dollar, after both UK GILT (bonds issued by the UK government) and US government issued bond yields both increased in anticipating of further quantitative easing from the European Central Bank, (ECB) and also expectations of an aggressive fiscal plan by the US President elect Donald Trump.

Whilst complicated the result was Sterling strength across the board.

People planning on converting Pounds into another major currency such as the US Dollar, the Euro or the Australian Dollar for example have been presented with a much more attractive opportunity than this time last month, due to the Pounds unexpected gains off the back of the unexpected election of Trump.

Personally, I think the Pound may gain further on the Euro as we enter December and the Italian Referendum this weekend may be the catalyst. If the Italian Prime Minister (Matteo Renzi) is unsuccessful in his plan to change the Italian constitution in order to reform the banking system in Italy, I think we could see further Euro weakness as soon as next week. Feel free to get in touch if you wish to be kept updated on this topic.

Those in the process of buying property abroad or moving large amounts of money internationally have the chance to save thousands if we compare the Pounds value now compared with just a month ago, and with the help of a specialist currency exchange brokerage like ourselves we can help clients get even more for their money as our rates can improve on the banks offerings by between 1-4%.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

You can also call in to speak with me over the phone on 01494 787 478, just ask reception for Joe if I don’t answer myself. 

 

Sterling close to 2 month high to buy the Euro (Tom Holian)

The Pound has gained vs the Euro and the US Dollar after mortgage approvals in the UK jumped to over 67,5000 from the estimate of 65,000. This shows that even in the wake of the Brexit vote people are still borrowing and it highlights that the UK economy is still doing well in spite of the vote to leave the European Union back in June.

The good news about UK mortgage approvals is that it is a good indicator as to the overall health of an economy and one of the first sectors to fall in an economic downturn.

Over the weekend we could see a huge amount of volatility for GBPEUR exchange rates when the Italians hold their own referendum on Sunday regarding constitutional reform.

The Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has suggested that he might step down if the vote does not go his way and political uncertainty often has a big negative impact so if the vote goes the wrong way for Renzi we could see GBPEUR exchange rates go in an upwards direction.

Other European countries are going to the polls next year including France and with the right wing Marine Le Pen gaining 20% of the vote according to some recent polls this could see things changing on the continent politically next year.

If you’re in the process of selling your property in France or Spain and are worried about the Euro going in the wrong direction it may be worth buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for the future for a small deposit.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident of being able to offer you better exchange rates than using your own bank and also help you with the timing of your transfer of funds.

If you have a currency transfer to make and want to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

 

 

Sterling riding high, but will the Pound’s rally continue? (Daniel Johnson)

Pound Sterling Forecast

Since Philip Hammond’s Autumn statement we have seen the Pound rally against the majority of major currencies.  Hammond delivered a realistic , non dramatic statement but made it clear he will be attempting to make Britain resilient to any problems that come from a possible exit from the EU.

The pound has hit new buoyancy levels against the majors, but I am not convinced Sterling will continue to rise in value. We have the Supreme Court Judgement which will determine whether the government will get the final say on the triggering of Article 50 which will officially start the process of Britain exiting the EU.  Scotland also may get involved, the argument that Scotland will be impacted by the decision bears credibility.

If the decision is that the government will have their say then the possibility of a soft Brexit becomes more likely, this should strengthen the Pound, but will elongate the exit process and Theresa May’s target of leaving the EU by the end of March could well be pushed back. If you are looking to sell the Pound you may wish to consider moving before this event.

Pound to US Dollar exchange rates in detail

The key upcoming event for the US is the interest rate decision on 14th December. Janet Yellen the head of the Federal Reserve indicated at the end of last year that there would be several rate hikes in 2016, but none have yet to materialise. Although the FED is meant to act as a separate entity to the government, the political uncertainty created around who would win the presidency may have been a factor in keeping rates on hold.

Trump has been highly critical of Yellen’s unwillingness to hike rates and has gone as far to threaten her with a more bullish replacement. This could well force Yellen’s hand on December 14th and there is a high probability of a rise in interest rates. If you are buying US Dollars it may be wise to move before the interest rate decision. Keep an eye on Non-Farm Payrolls on Friday as this event is notorious for it’s unpredictability and ability to move markets.

Pound to Euro exchange rates in detail

With current levels close to 1.18, a near two month high it is tempting to perform your trade if you are selling Sterling with the Supreme Court judgement and the European Central Bank’s interest rate decision early in December. Many econimists are predicting that Mario Draghi the Head of the ECB will let slip his plans for future Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is essentially pumping moneyinto an economy to stimulate growth. The ECB is currently injecting €80bn a month into the Eurozone. The current program is due to end in March, but with little change of inflation I would be surprised to see QE not continue. There is also the possibility of an increase in monthly increments. If news does filter through on 8th December this could be what the gambling Sterling seller could have been waiting for.

If you have a currency trade it is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker. The timing of your trade is vital, If you have an experienced broker on board they can keep you up to date with what is happening in the market to help you make an informed decision. I will be happy to help you personally. If you inform me of  the currency pair you are trading, volume and time scale and I will provide a free individual trading strategy. I work for one of the top brokerages in the country and as such I am in a position to better almost every competitors rate of exchange. You would  be looking at saving anything up to 4% in comparison to high street banks. Please do get in touch by contacting me at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading my blog.

Daniel Johnson

Executive Dealer – Foreign Currency Direct PLC

The ‘Trump Train’ market surge fades but Sterling manages to hold on to it’s gains, but for how long? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has surged across the board through November for a number of reasons, with the main catalysts being the likely delay to invoking Article 50 and beginning the Brexit process, and Trumps election victory in the US boosting sentiment surrounding the UK economy.

Those planning on converting Pounds into another foreign currency have been dealt a good hand this month, as the Pound has gained clawed back quite alot of it’s losses since the Brexit vote.

This month alone the Pound has gained 5 cents vs the US Dollar and 7 cents vs the Euro. In monetary terms a £200,000 GBP to EUR currency exchange is now gaining an additional €15,000+ in the space of 30 days which just highlights the importance of timing large currency conversions.

As a specialist currency brokerage we’re here to monitor the currency markets on behalf of our clients, and in volatile trading conditions like we’ve seen this month our service can really save clients large amounts of money due to the assistance with timings and reacting to market movements.

There will be manufacturing and construction figures released later this week which could affect GBP exchange rates depending on their outcome, and if you are planning a currency exchange between the Pound and another major currency and would like to plan around these events, do get in touch regarding timings and exchange rates.

The Pound has so far held onto it’s gains made this month, but currencies do tend to fall quicker than they climb and if some ‘Hard Brexit’ related news is released there is a chance the Pound could lose some or even all of it’s recent gains.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well be worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible. 

You can also call in and ask reception to speak with me (Joe) on 01494 787 478. 

Profit taking undermines the Pound – where next for GBP/EUR, GBP/USD and GBP/AUD? (Joshua Privett)

Like clockwork speculative trading on Friday has attacked some of the Pound’s heavy gains against the Euro and the Australian Dollar in particular over the past 3 weeks.

After breaching fresh 10 week highs just on Thursday, the Pound was hit on two fronts on Friday.

Firstly, harsh words from the Maltese Prime Minister about the upcoming negotiations with the EU were enough to upset a clearly hypsersensitve market at the moment.

Sterling recouped some of those losses when it was quite clear it was an overreaction to those comments. Though you can’t blame investors for jumping the gun…the last time a few leaders from the Eurozone made comments like that it was the beginning of October and it caused a flash crash on the Pound, with GBP/EUR falling 4 cents as an example.

Following this, the rollercoaster continued for buying Euro and Dollar rates, and the reasoning points to worrying expectations for exchange rates in the latter part of next month.

Profit taking and protective trading will likely see the Pound undercut quite heavily as markets relieve themselves of riskier currencies ahead of the Christmas period when trading winds down. Essentially many traders are not at their desks so will likely buy up ‘safe haven’ currencies such as the Swiss Franc and US Dollar to avoid coming back to work in January to see hard earned profits lost.

The expected mass sell off of Sterling is why companies and individuals are already planning to protect themselves during this period.

A more muted version of this actually happens every Friday as investors sell off their Sterling to protect themselves heading into the weekend when they are not at their desk.

The fact that this continues to happen is why anyone with a buying Euro, US Dollar, or Australian Dollar requirement should be wary of the Christmas period.

 

If you are planning a currency purchase involving the Pound, it is certainly worth your time contacting me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to order to explore the options open to you to seize any peaks which emerge on GBP/EUR, GBP/AUD and GBP/USD, and to safeguard your transfer from any unexpected turns in global politics and the financial world.

I offer my customers a proactive service to make sure you remain a well informed purchaser and avoid being ‘last to the party’ when attractive levels for buying or selling suddenly emerge. I also work for one of the UK’s leading currency exchange brokerages who provide highly competitive currency exchange rates.

To avoid the inherant risk of the Christmas period, I would remind our regular readers that you can also ‘pre-book’ your currency at today’s rates for a later period to avoid navigating particularly volatile periods when you have a planned currency exchange in 2017.

Will the pound rise higher or fall before the end of 2016?

The pound has entered a fresh period of buoyancy finding favour against all currencies in November. October was a month of tremendous uncertainty but sterling has now recovered and this is presenting some very good news opportunities to buy a foreign currency. December is already looking extremely interesting with some very important events in the Eurozone and the United States which you can read more about in my post from this morning here. Otherwise let us have a look at some of the key decisions which will shape sterling exchange rates for the end of 2016.

The Supreme Court decision is one of the biggest factors for the pound in my opinion since it highlights the path to Brexit. The decision as to whether or not the UK will have to seek parliamentary approval to trigger Article 50 is of major consequence to the pound. If the Supreme Court rule Parliament does then we will surely see sterling rise since it makes the ‘hard’ Brexit Theresa May is apparently pursuing less likely. Parliamentary approval will undoubtedly hinge on severe watering down of the terms and even raises the possibility Brexit may not happen. The court decision may not be known until January but the story will be big news for December and early January.

If you are planning a currency exchange involving sterling I would be making plans around this information, it looks likely the vote will be upheld so sterling could rise further. If you need to buy or sell the pound then making some plans sooner rather than later is best to avoid the uncertainty this event presents to financial markets. For more information on this event and how to take advantage please speak to me Jonathan by calling 01494 787 478 or emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk

Will the pound rise or fall in December?

The pound has had an amazing few weeks going from one of the world’s worst performing currencies to one of the world’s best performing currencies. Investors were bracing themselves for a dreadful finish to a bad year for the pound but now the outlook is a little rosier. Of course the performance of the pound will be interesting to you depending on which currency you are buying or selling against the pound. December has some very important global events alongside key news at home, all of which will shape sterling exchange rates. If you are looking to buy or sell the pound soon or in 2017 December is a key month to be making some plans ahead of!

EURO (GBPEUR) – The Italian Constitutional Referendum is on the 4th December and could easily see a big unwinding of Euro positions. This could give Euro buyers with pounds a nice early Christmas present! The Euro may weaken as political uncertainty in the region becomes a concern, the referendum is on constitutional reform but is turning into a vote on the popularity of Matteo Renzi the current Italian PM. On the 8th December the European Central Bank meet to discuss further QE (Quantitative Easing) measures which could also weaken the Euro.

December is shaping up to be a very volatile month for the Euro. The pound has just hit fresh 2 month highs against the Euro but will this last or could it go even go higher? For more information on this particularly uncertain pair please email me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk. We could hit over 1.20 so if you are looking to buy at 1.20 or more please let me know.

US Dollar (GBPUSD) – The fallout from Donald Trumps election victory continues mainly in emerging markets but the ascent of the US dollar seems almost unstoppable. One event that could easily half the strength of the US dollar is December 14th the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision. With markets pricing in over 90% probability of the US raising their interest rate to 0.75% global markets will be bracing themselves for this important wide reaching event. Expect further US dollar strength but this might lead to unexpected swings on GBPEUR and GBPUSD and investors move funds in and out of the US dollar.

GBPUSD exchange rates have been some of the most volatile in 2016 moving over 30 cents between the high and the low. If you are looking to buy or sell the pound and US dollar then please contact me to discuss the market in depth and all of your options. Please email jmw@currencies.co.uk to get a further breakdown of the outlook and best available rates on this volatile pairing.

Jonathan Watson in action!

Jonathan Watson 

I Jonathan Watson have worked as a currency specialist for almost ten years helping business and private clients maximise their currency exchanges. I can offer a full overview of the market and highlight all the important events and your options to help limit your currency exposure. I would be delighted to hear from you and have a chat about our services and how we might help.

To contact Jonathan please email jmw@currencies.co.uk or call 01494 787 478. Jonathan has appeared on BBC News discussing the EU Referendum and has been quoted in the FT, The Times The Telegraph and many more. 

Buying rates for Euros and Australian Dollars testing new highs, but GBP/USD lagging behind (Joshua Privett)

The Pound has had a fantastic two weeks to say the least after what had been heavy drop after heavy drop on buying Euro and Dollar rates of exchange. We are now entering a period of stability following a stint where in two weeks the market has moved more than the last three months combined for GBP/EUR, GBP/AUD and GBP/USD.

Buying Euro rates in particular have been the main beneficiary from this recent movement, being hit by a Trump Presidency from two angles which explain the 7% plus gains since November 9th.

Due to the special relationship between the US Dollar and the Euro, a stronger Dollar tends to draw capital away from the Euro. Whilst Trump is a wildcard his very public support for a US interest rate hike in December is fueling heavy Dollar interest, with investors in the Euro diverting their attention to the other side of the Atlantic. The Euro thus deflates as disinterested parties go elsewhere.

Furthermore, the expectation of a change in the US stance of a hostile Obama to a supportive Trump for the UK leaving the European Union has also buoyed market confidence in a better result for the UK in upcoming negotiations.

Now that the Autumn statement has passed, with Hammond’s praise of the positive impact of the Bank of England’s interest rate cut and increase in monetary stimulus suggestive that further emergency stimulus is not necessary in the UK since the vote, the Pound can move forward at its gradual pace of improvement barring any political surprises.

Without much economic data out between now and the beginning of December when the cycle begins once again with a fresh look at November, buying Euro and Australian Dollar rates will likely continue to benefit from a stronger Pound.

Apart from the unknowable factor which is the Supreme Court’s decision over the role of Parliament in the Brexit to be decided on December 10th, red flags and flashing sirens are abound for anyone with a GBP/EUR, GBP/AUD, or GBP/USD requirement in the latter part of December.

Profit taking and protective trading will likely see the Pound undercut quite heavily as markets relieve themselves of riskier currencies ahead of the Christmas period when trading winds down. A more muted version of this actually happens every Friday, so feel free to have a look at rates on Friday afternoon to see if this materializes and get a better understanding of how markets are functioning at the moment.

In the meantime, Sterling buyers may be wise to move quite quickly if the time period for your transfer does not allow for you to wait for this latter December period.

Conversely Euro and Australian Dollar buyers may be wise to monitor market rates over the next few weeks, particularly in the run up to December 10th.

If you are planning a currency purchase involving the Pound, it is certainly worth your time contacting me on jjp@currencies.co.uk to order to explore the options open to you to seize any peaks which emerge on GBP/EUR, GBP/AUD and GBP/USD, and to safeguard your transfer from any unexpected turns in global politics and the financial world.

I offer my customers a proactive service to make sure you remain a well informed purchaser and avoid being ‘last to the party’ when attractive levels for buying or selling suddenly emerge. I also work for one of the UK’s leading currency exchange brokerages who provide highly competitive currency exchange rates.

I will answer your email as soon as I am able to since time can very regularly be of the essence when it comes to currency queries. Please feel free also to contact me 01494 787 478 during office hours (8:30-6pm) and ask the reception team to be put through to my line (Joshua).