Tag Archives: GBPUSD exhange rates

What can you expect for sterling exchange rates this week?

The last few weeks have seen sterling rise on the back of a feel good factor owing to the Conservative election victory and renewed uncertainty in the Eurozone and US. The pound has not really stuggled regarding the bad news of ‘good’ deflation and some impressive Retail Sales figures have helped sterling to rise above 1.40 against the Euro.

This week UK GDP (Gross Domestic Product) data looks like the main driver for sterling. It is worth pointing out the recent growth data looking at Q1 showed a 0.3% rise in the UK economy which was below recent expectations. It seems reasonable therefore to warn anyone buying a foreign currency with sterling that the rate that has risen so unexpectedly from the 8th May election result day to now, may get a reality check on Friday this week.

Friday is interesting too because the United State GDP release will be closely watched. Recent US data had been soft and so the expectations the US would raise interest rates had fallen along with the price of the dollar. However rising Inflation at the end of last week shows an interest rate rise might not be too far away, hence the resurgence of the dollar.

If you have any foreign exchange requirements pending it might be worthwhile considering the week ahead and how it may impact your exchange rate. Please email me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk to learn more.

Economic reality sets in for the pound…

Well it didn’t take more than a week for the economic reality of the UK and sterling to be realised. The euphoria from the Conservative victory has passed as the Bank of England and Mark Carney revised down UK growth forecasts for next year. The prospects of raising interest rates in the UK look to be set out further and further as economic growth falls along with inflation. With the UK economy confirmed to have only grown 0.3%  in the first quarter of this year in the week leading up to the election expectations for sterling to carry on rising look very much misplaced.

Markets unfortunately have very short memories and often overreact to an initial move in one direction with a small kick back as investors take profits. This was definitely seen today as GBPEUR went from 1.4030 this morning to 1.3846 this afternoon. Not good news for all of those Euro buyers hanging on for 1.40!

Economic reality has today set in for sterling and anyone buying a foreign currency who was pleased with positive GBP movers following the unexpected election result, might want to cash in now before it drops further in the future.

For a detailed analysis of your situation and just what to expect when buying or selling the pound please contact me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk

GBPEUR could well drop 6 cents! Are you buying or selling?

‘Sterling loses significant ground as election uncertainty heats up’ could be a headline next week as the most uncertain election in years takes place. Sterling lost 5 cents in the weeks leading up to the election in 2010. The same was true of the Scottish Referendum. Can you really afford to take risks with so much at stake? Many people buying a foreign currency with the pound have been locking in on forward contracts lately to guarantee they won’t get a worse rate in the future.

If you are transferring currency in the coming weeks or months please don’t take the current rates of exchange for granted, it could end up very costly. The election is such a rare unique event trying to make firm predictions could be a big mistake. Having said that it seems reasonable to expect the exchange rate will drop as it has done in the past at such times.

If you need to buy or sell it might be a good idea to make some plans as major uncertainty is due. For more information on just what to expect and how to benefit from the uncertainty please contact me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk

‘Luck shines most on those who have made preparation to grasp their opportunities’

Do you know who is going to win the election in the UK? Nor do I. But I think a hung parliament is looking more and more likely, this is something anyone considering buying or selling sterling should be very aware of. The pound is likely to fall in the coming weeks as uncertainty rises as to who will take the reign of the UK public finances. This is not a time to be sitting on the fence waiting for something to happen!

Moody’s the ratings agency confirmed yesterday that they view a UK exit from the EU more damaging than any uncertainty over just how the election pans out. As a client pointed out to me recently any uncertainty in the UK parliament may pale into insignificance when compared with some of the uncertainty in the Eurozone at the moment!

Simply put no one can say exactly what will happen. But from my experience of past events (the 2010 election and the Scottish Referendum) sterling is likely to fall before the event before rising after. However with the Tories pledging a referendum on Europe and Labour pledging to increase spending neither outcome looks good from a market perspective. It may be that sterling could fall further after the election or around the result as the parties scramble to get in bed with one another over important issues.

If you are considering a sterling transfer in the future the coming weeks may present at opportunity that does not return. Making plans in advance is the only way to limit your risk and help maximise your currency exchange. We offer a specialist proactive service to help you get the most from the market when transferring money overseas. This blog is intended to highlight important events and information in the market so that you can help minimise your risk through an informed decision.

To really get the most from our service speaking to one of our team or myself is recommended. I Jonathan Watson have worked as a foreign exchange broker for the same company for 6 years and am here to assist in the planning and execution of any international money transfer you need to make. I cannot tell you exactly what to do but hope to provide useful insight and a platform for achieving the most for your money. Even if funds are not required at this stage with plenty of uncertainty around, utilising a forward contract or a stop loss or limit order might be a good idea.

I am very confident I can show you a saving on the exchange rate versus other sources and also offer a friendly, knowledgeable service above any bank or foreign exchange broker. If you wish to learn more about the pound and just what to expect plus what you can do about the uncertainty up ahead please email me on jmw@currencies.co.uk

Other Currencies News

CAD – Unemployment data today at 13.30 has helped the current 2 month high the Loonie dollar is enjoying against sterling. In a nutshell the Canadian dollar is benefitting from an improved Oil price and overall improvements in their biggest trading partner America’s economy. The Loonie may well track further future projected improvements in the USD against sterling so anyone buying the Canadian dollar in the future might wish to make plans sooner than later.

AUD – The Reserve Bank of Australia decided not to cut their interest rate as expected helping the Aussie to strengthen against sterling. Expectations are for the RBA to make at least one more rate cut before the end of the year as they seek a weaker currency to help boost their exports.

ZAR – A general improvement in risk appetite and commodity prices has helped the Rand to rise against sterling, anyone selling Rand for the pound might want to move on any GBP weakness before the upcoming election.

No matter which currency you are buying or selling and when, please feel free to make contact to be kept up to date with the latest news and events which may alter your price. Whether a regular business buying currency or a private property investor looking at a one off international payment, I am sure I can offer you something of interest.

I look forward to hearing from you, please don’t forget to vote :)

Jonathan

Important News for GBPEUR buyers and sellers in the next 24 hours!

Tomorrow is the UK budget and some Unemployment data which could mean some volatility. Rates have already dropped due to comments by the Bank of England Governor the pound is overvalued. The ray of hope would be tomorrow night’s US Federal Reserve meeting where we will learn more about the prospect of the US raising their base interest rate. One driver of Euro weakness has been USD strength. As the USD strengthens much of the funds are arriving from the Euro (as EURUSD is the most heavily traded currency pairing) and this means further USD strength should mean more Euro weakness.

So if you are prepared to risk further losses holding on for later in the week is an option, if you are concerned and would be upset at it dropping further moving sooner is probably best. Longer term the UK election seems likely to cause GBP weakness and current levels are significantly improved from the last few weeks, months and years. In my opinion therefore representing an excellent buy opportunity.

Is this useful? I am very confident I can save you money over other brokers and the banks. Registering takes a minute online and we can be quoting you a live price to buy your currency within minutes of you contacting us. Even a small difference on the price you receive from your broker could be a big difference in the currency you receive. Please email me jmw@currencies.co.uk to learn more!

Are you selling a foreign currency to buy the pound? Making plans now could be a wise move…

Sterling has spiked against its peers as UK data shows improvements in the various sectors of the economy, notably the Manufacturing Industry and the Services Sector. Unless you are buying USD with the pound, 2015 has been pretty much plain sailing for anyone buying a foreign currency with the pound. What I wish to focus on are the numbers of clients buying the pound currently. Tomorrow and next week could be some very good opportunities to buy the pound as the Bank of England release some important information. Sterling looks set to rise over the longer term so making some plans soon is probably wise!

EUR to GBP – 2015 has been a rough ride for anyone selling a property or getting paid in the Eurozone. Quantitative Easing and the Greek election have caused the Euro to sink to a 7 year low against the pound and the forecast for Euro sellers is not very rosy. I would be seeking to trade on any dips in your favour. The General Election later in the year may help but in my opinion holding on for so long is a risky move. To learn more about the process of moving funds out of the Eurozone at the best exchange rates please contact me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk

AUD to GBP – The Aussie has weakened to multi year lows against sterling too, principally on the back of the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) decision to cut interest rates to stimulate growth. Falling commodity prices have caused the Australian dollar to plummet and we are only a couple of cents off the historic 1 GBP for 2 AUD being reached. With the global economy slowing it would seem reasonable to expect further losses for the AUD as the RBA act to keep the Australian economy growing.

Even if you are holding on expecting rates to majorly improve for buying the pound depending on the currency you are holding it is probably sensible to make some firm plans now. We offer a specialist service to move money internationally at the very best exchange rates. Assisting in the planning and execution of said transfers we have directly helped over 4000 clients to make an informed decision about when to execute their exchange plus countless others who read the site. If you are a regular reader and wish to learn more please email me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk

Tomorrow’s Non Farm Payroll could be more important than the rate decisions today!

US ~Non Farm Payroll data is due tomorrow which could be a big market mover as it is the first one since the US stopped their QE programme. Today’s meeting with Mario Draghi might also be very interesting and should be a market mover, the least interesting thing is probably the UK’s Bank of England decision which is not expected to yield anything new.

How can you make a decision on when is the right time to enter the market if you don’t know what is happening? The idea of this blog is to provide information on just where rates are headed and make sure you get the best price when you do decide to enter the market. If you have a transaction that you need to consider why not get in touch with our specialist team to find out more about moving money internationally at the very best rates.

Sterling has done really well this year as the UK economy improves and investors position themselves for the UK to raise interest rates. Next year we would expect the UK elections to move the market, the increased uncertainty surrounding the political situation in the UK is bound to cause ripples on exchange rates.

When considering making a currency exchange understanding what is driving the exchange rate is vital to getting the most from the market.  Please contact  Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk for a quick overview of your position and to learn more about getting the best rates.

Sterling could be in for a very tough Winter…

Sterling has had a truly remarkable year making firm gains against pretty much all currencies and presenting some of the best rates to buy a foreign currency with in years. GBPUSD hit a 5 year high, GBPEUR has hit a two year high (and not far off a 6 year high!) and GBPNZD and GBPAUD are also both at multi year highs… Clearly sterling is faring well but this now begs the question will it continue?

October is looking like a tough month for the pound  with economic releases from September’s data likely to be poor owing to lower business and consumer confidence due to the Scottish referendum. I feel this is likely to feed into the rest of the year and with it interest rate hike expectations (currently expected in April) liable to be pushed back further. Economic growth in the UK is currently running at 0.8% and with house prices not rising as fast as previously I think the need to raise rates will dampen in Q4.

Tomorrow is some very important Eurozone news on Inflation which will be indicative of how much QE we can expect Thursday from the ECB. With so much volatility surrounding this release making some careful plans ready to trade on the news seems sensible.

I couldn’t possibly fit everything important in one post, would you read the whole article anyway? So if you need to consider a currency exchange and wish for further information please contact me directly on jmw@currencies.co.uk. I work as a foreign exchange dealer and we focus on a personal proactive service to help you get the most from the market. Please contact me for more information regarding your situation.

Will sterling continue to rise

The pound remains at elevated levels and it would appear it shall continue to do so. Expectations of Quantitative Easing in the Eurozone next month are keeping the Euro weak and following the dollar’s recent surge investor appetite for favourite the safe haven looks set to remain cooled for the time being.

The pound was looking in serious danger on the back of a possible Yes vote in the referendum but these fears have now cooled with the No vote. There are however significant reasons for concern for GBP weakness down the line with the UK election and the possibility of the EU referendum to follow. These topics could make the Scottish referendum look like a Parish Councillors meeting by comparison…

All in all the news is generally very positive for the pound at present but further gains in the absence of something ‘new’ to impress investors look limited. If you need to buy a foreign currency with sterling capitalising on these extremely impressive levels might be the best course of action. To be notified of any impressive spikes please contact me Jonathan on jmw@currencies.co.uk

 

The pound surges in late trading but further losses are expected in the days to come. (Ben Amrany)

Sterling has today had an extremely volatile day’s trading all mainly due to the uncertainty of the Scottish referendum. It is currently playing havoc with the pound and today we have seen a high to low spread against the Euro from 1.2397 to 1.2543 and over a cent high to low against the USD.

The last poll showed there was a 50/50 split but we are expecting an update tomorrow and any signs that the YES vote is ahead once again expect to see further sterling losses. The Swings in the market is going to show how nervous the UK markets are about Scotland voting in favour of independenceand several news reports have highlighted how damning it will be for the UK economy.

Here we have seen a massive increase in the volume of clients buying and selling the pound as the uncertainty is very concerning. With reports that a YES vote could cause the pound to fall by as much as 10% if you are buying or selling sterling you have to ask yourself how much risk to gain ratio you want to take on your exchange because even if a NO vote (which we do expect) happens the pound may only climb by 1-2%. If you take into account what the losses could be it is just not worth the gamble in not exchanging your funds now. This time next month we could be as high as 1.27 or as low as 1.17. This is a real likely spread depending on the outcome and you may be wise just to know how far your funds are going while the rates are still favourable.

So if you are looking at buying or selling a specific currency you may be wise to speak with myself Ben Amrany and I can explain all the options available to you to help you minimise your losses while helping you achieve a much better rate than what the high street banks will offer. You can email me with your contact details and requirement at bma@currencies.co.uk and I will contact you to explain the current market place and  how best to minimise those losses.

Thank you for reading

Ben Amrany

bma@currencies.co.uk

 

 

 

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