Tag Archives: weakness
Sterling is down against all currencies on political uncertainty arising from the most uncertain General Election in decades. The Tories and Labour are neck and neck fighting to gain any seats to reduce their reliance on other parties in coalition. Just what can we expect for the pound in the next 24 hours and weeks? It looks like sterling is going to fall further whoever gets into power!
Tory Majority – Sterling Positive. As plans on the economy to keep on the current course should help investor confidence surrounding the pound. Although the Tories have pledged a referendum on Europe which could damage business confidence for the coming months and in the future.
Tory and Lib Coalition – Sterling Positive. The Current partnership has reduced Unemployment and is currently in charge of a growing economy.
Tory, Lib, UKIP – Mildly Sterling Positive. Increaeses the chances of an EU Referendum being held sooner than expected which could be GBP negative.
Labour Majority – Sterling Negative. The increased spending plans are unlikely to boost confidence in sterling and fears over the mismanagement of the economy would be rife.
Labour Lib Coalition – Mildly Sterling Negative. The Liberal Influence may be viewed positively by markets.
Labour SNP Coalition – Strongly Sterling Negative. The SNP are likely to seek another referendum on the Union which they are more likely to win than before. The splitting up of the Union could be very worrying for investors seeking certainty on the outlook of the UK.
In short there are many outcomes that may affect your price! To be kept up to date with all the potential outcomes and learn what happens please contact firstname.lastname@example.org
US ~Non Farm Payroll data is due tomorrow which could be a big market mover as it is the first one since the US stopped their QE programme. Today’s meeting with Mario Draghi might also be very interesting and should be a market mover, the least interesting thing is probably the UK’s Bank of England decision which is not expected to yield anything new.
How can you make a decision on when is the right time to enter the market if you don’t know what is happening? The idea of this blog is to provide information on just where rates are headed and make sure you get the best price when you do decide to enter the market. If you have a transaction that you need to consider why not get in touch with our specialist team to find out more about moving money internationally at the very best rates.
Sterling has done really well this year as the UK economy improves and investors position themselves for the UK to raise interest rates. Next year we would expect the UK elections to move the market, the increased uncertainty surrounding the political situation in the UK is bound to cause ripples on exchange rates.
When considering making a currency exchange understanding what is driving the exchange rate is vital to getting the most from the market. Please contact Jonathan on email@example.com for a quick overview of your position and to learn more about getting the best rates.
Inflation data released this morning for the U.K has led to a drop in the value of the Pound as figures came out much lower than expectations.
The worry was that inflation figures may have dropped off a little however the actual figure released was a lot lower than had been predicted.
Lower inflation will lead to the potential of an interest rate hike being put back a little further and an interest rate hike generally is seen as positive for the currency concerned and with the markets moving on speculation as well as firm economic releases.
We have also seen the Euro weaken off lately and the reason for this is extremely low inflation figures leading to the risk of deflation, one of the ways they are looking at to combat this is by introducing QE (Quantitative Easing) which as many regular readers will know generally is seen as very negative for the currency concerned as it is essentially printing more money and injecting it into the economy.
We still have quite a busy week ahead with a few interesting points of note including unemployment figures for the U.K tomorrow (predicted to have improved to 6.1%) and U.S Retail sales figures tomorrow afternoon. For those with an interest in the Euro you should be aware of President of the European Central Bank Mario Draghi speaking at 8:00am tomorrow morning which could move Euro exchange rates in advance of trading lines opening.
if you have a currency transfer to carry out in the coming days, weeks or indeed months then it may be prudent to contact me directly as the company I work for has not only won awards for our exchange rates but also our customer service. You can contact me directly on Djw@currencies.co.uk please leave a contact number and a brief description of what you are looking to do and I will be happy to get in touch.
After yesterdays bank of England which gave the pound a real boost after two members of the Bank of England voted for interest rate hikes we have seen the pound lose all of its gains against the Euro, USD and the southern hemisphere currencies. The losses have been on average about 0.3%
The Euro is now below 1.25 the Dollar is in the 1.65’s and this is a massive decline compared to two weeks again when the rates were above 1.26 & 1.70 respectively. The losses today occurred when retail figures showed a decline from the anticipated rate and has hindered the pound.
All data at present is having a real time effect on when the markets predict this first interest rate hike in the UK. The quarterly inflation report a couple of weeks ago hindered the pound when interest rate hike expectations were put back to February 2015 at the earliest now and all UK data which comes out negatively can theoretically push back this data back. We are expecting this dip for the pound to cement itself between 1.24 and 1.2550 over the next couple of weeks.
Tomorrow there is no data to note of out of the UK and we could find a very dull end to the week and with a bank holiday on Monday the markets should be flat until Tuesday. If you are looking at buying or selling you may wish to asses things before the long weekend to make sure you do not get caught out of there are any big movements.
With contracts available like forward buying where you can secure what you need now and pay for it at a later stage this can help you budget to the full and give you the peace of mind to know how far your funds are going. For more information on this or any other part of the service we offer please do feel free to contact myselfBen Amrany at firstname.lastname@example.org
Thank you for reading