Canadian Dollar suffers despite rate hike (Daniel Johnson)

Pound to Canadian Dollar forecast Brexit news continues to dominate movement for the GBPCAD exchange rate

NAFTA is a cause for concern for CAD

The Bank of Canada (BOC) decided raise rates last week after positive economic data, particularly unemployment, which plunged to the lowest levels in forty years. Common belief would be to assume a rate hike means a stronger currency, this is not always the case.

The market moves on rumour as well as fact and the rate hike was anticipated following the release of the unemployment data so the hike was already factored into the exchange. There is also the  matter of the North American Free Trade (NAFTA) agreement which has held back the loonie.

Mexico and Canada are heavily reliant on the US purchasing their exports and the NAFTA deal has served both Canada and Mexico well. Donald Trump however is far from happy with current terms as he continues with his “America comes first” plans. Trump stated it is the “worst trade deal in history.”

The deal is currently being renegotiated and the negotiations are not going well. Trump’s demands are considered to be unrealistic. The US has introduced a number of proposals into negotiations that are inconsistent with the principals of free trade.

There is the possibility the US could withdraw from the deal completely which could have severe implications for Mexico and Canada. It is predicted a NAFTA withdrawal could cause as many as 1.3 million  job losses and a significant hit to Canada’s and Mexico’s imports from the US.

If you have a trade involving the Canadian Dollar keep a keen eye on NAFTA talks it has the power to influence Canadian Dollar value. The present situation does not bode well for CAD.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. It is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker if you wish to maximise your return. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a free, no obligation trading strategy for you. If you have a trade to perform I will also happily provide a free quote and I am confident our rates are among the best in the industry. I would be willing to demonstrate this in form of a comparison with any competitor. You can trade in safety knowing you are dealing with company FCA registered and one that has been trading for 16yrs. Foreign Currency Direct PLC.

If you would like my assistance I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading. Daniel Johnson