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Forecast for the Week

Pound at its lowest against the Euro in 19 months, and 37 years against...

The pound is notably weaker today following the release of the latest UK Retail Sales numbers showing a surprise fall of 1.6%, which makes the economic slowdown anticipated, and likely recession ahead seem much worse than thought for Britain. As I write, GBPEUR levels have dropped to a 19-month low, with the day low at the time of writing 1.1399 on GBPEUR and 1.1350 on GBPUSD. The cable level is a 37-year low, the worst for sterling since 1985 against the US dollar. I am...

Pound rebounds following lighter than expected inflation figures

Wednesday’s trading session saw the pound on the front foot, gaining back some of the losses from the past week against a basket of currencies. Inflation data released in the morning showed price growth slowed in July for the first time since September 2021. Could this be a signal that the cost-of-living crisis has begun to ease in the UK? The Bank of England stated last month that they expect inflation to peak at 13%. The drop in price growth does pose an interesting question...

Will the Pound Remain Steady after Surprise Dip in Inflation ?

The pound has been relatively steady today following a surprise dip in the headline Inflation numbers. In welcome news across the country, the number came in at 9.9% higher year on year for August, versus the 10.2% numbers from last month for July. The important point is the number has been trending higher since the beginning of the year so this marks a turning point and could potentially signal a change in policy ahead. Inflation is very influential on interest rates, and interest rate...
A Rollarcoaster Week for GBP EUR - Weekly Review June 18th 

Will the pound keep rising against the Euro and when is the best time...

The pound to Euro exchange rate has bounced back from the recent lows rising above 1.16 and making a brave challenge for 1.17 in the last 24 hours. Some fresh confidence that finally, the British government is going to do something about the awful cost of living crisis facing the UK has seen investors take advantage of the recent lows of sterling and buy in some speculative positioning. It might be argued that all this has done is stem the tide of a majorly depreciating...

Pound jumps on expectations that Liz Truss will announce huge economic plan – Sterling...

The pound has struggled to find many positive days in recent weeks, however, over the course of this morning we have seen sterling exchange rates creep up against all major currencies. The majority of this can be put down to a minor shift in sentiment and that investors and speculators alike appear to have some confidence behind the expected economic plans being muted by new Prime Minister Liz Truss. Expectations are for an economic package of £130 Billion to be announced in due course which would...
GBP USD Exchange Rate Drops to Fresh Low as Truss Becomes New PM

GBP USD Exchange Rate Drops to Fresh Low as Truss Becomes New PM

The pound slid as low as 1.144 against the dollar on Monday – its lowest level since March 2020 – ahead of the announcement of the new Prime Minister. When, as widely expected, it was confirmed that Liz Truss had beaten Rishi Sunak in the race to 10 Downing Street, the UK currency managed to claw its way back into the 1.15 range. Truss has promised tax cuts and a new energy plan within the week, which could present the Bank of England with the conditions...
Pound to Euro rate continues to fall, making history in the process

Pound Sterling losses continue as cost of living crisis dominates headlines – New Prime...

Sterling exchange rates have continues to drift to kick start a new trading week, as the cost of living crisis dominates headlines across UK media. With today being an important day for UK politics as we see the announcement of the winner in the Conservative party leadership contest, and ultimately who will be the new Prime Minister, they will almost instantaneously have to announce how they plan to combat what appears to be an extremely challenging winter for the majority of households and businesses. It is...
GBP to EUR Forecast: Will Sterling See Further Losses Against the Euro?

Sterling exchange rates continue to slide – How low can the pound go?

Sterling exchange rates have seen further losses against both Euro and Dollar over the course of the trading week, as investors and speculators alike have made it clear there is a lack of confidence in the Pound at present. With the cost of living crisis bearing down on the UK economy and a prolonged recession on the cards we have started to witness a move away from the pound and it appears that it is being treated much more like a riskier currency rather than...
Pound to Euro forecast: When should I buy Euros?

Pound to Euro forecast: When should I buy Euros?

Sterling continues to struggle against the Euro: Key market events to look out for The pound over the last 8 weeks has struggled against the euro. Pound to euro exchange rates have dropped by 5%, to put this into monetary value a €250,000 purchase now costs an additional £11,450. This month there are a few key events to look out for which will have a major impact on the currency pairing. Brexit This month 160,000 Tory members will vote on who they want the next Prime Minister...
GBP USD Exchange Rate Pulls Back as UK Inflation Hits Fresh 40-Year High 

Pound to US Dollar forecast: What will move GBPUSD levels this week?

Pound to US Dollar rate under strain The pound to US dollar exchange rate is likely to come under some scrutiny this week, with a series of releases to move the currency markets. Expectations are for the GBP/USD exchange rate to come under influence from a number of different sources, including both Brexit and also more global factors. On the US dollar, there are also a series of domestic issues to contend with, including the prospect of a slowing economy leading to the US cutting interest...