Pound to Dollar Rate Drops to One-month Low

Will Sterling continue to recover following last week’s dramatic sell-off?

Yesterday the Pound begun the week in a strong fashion, following on from its recovery towards the end of last week. During last week’s trading session the Pound traded within an 8% range against the US Dollar and the trading range for GBP/EUR wasn’t far from this kind of dramatic trading range either. I would say that it was the most volatile week of trading since the Brexit vote took place back in June of 2016. The Pound begun to fall in value in the fall-out...

Pound Sterling Weakness – Why Is The Pound Dropping So Much?

Sterling exchange rates have taken a huge hit over the course of the days trading, as the new chancellor Kwasi Kwateng's mini-budget appears to have knocked the pound totally out of fashion. The pound has lost over 350bps against the Dollar sitting in the 1.08 territory, whilst dropping to 1.12 against the Euro and hitting the lowest level against the Swiss Franc since 1974 sitting in the 1.06s. There is now talk of an intervention and whether HMT will make an attempt late on Sunday night...

Fed hikes interest rate by 75 basis points with key BoE meeting looming

Yesterday evening the US federal reserve raised interest rates by 75 basis points. Raising the policy rate from 2.5% to 3.25%. This is the third 75 basis point hike in as many meetings by the Fed, highlighting again their intention to take a strong stance on inflation levels that have spiralled out of control. "The committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2% objective," the Fed said in a statement. Markets now expect US interest rates to finish the year above 4%. For...
GBP EUR Could Head Lower After Growth Revisions

Three Key Events in a Vital 72 hours for GBPEUR and GBPUSD Exchange Rates

The beginning of this week in the UK was very sombre with Her Majesty’s funeral and a UK Bank Holiday. This meant UK markets were shut, and ensured a fairly sleepy start to the week from a currency perspective, with sterling still nestling in the doldrums following the poor Retail Sales data from last week. The rest of this week looks far from calm however, with three key events that could trigger market movements for the pound, US dollar, Euro and many other currencies. The...

Pound at its lowest against the Euro in 19 months, and 37 years against...

The pound is notably weaker today following the release of the latest UK Retail Sales numbers showing a surprise fall of 1.6%, which makes the economic slowdown anticipated, and likely recession ahead seem much worse than thought for Britain. As I write, GBPEUR levels have dropped to a 19-month low, with the day low at the time of writing 1.1399 on GBPEUR and 1.1350 on GBPUSD. The cable level is a 37-year low, the worst for sterling since 1985 against the US dollar. I am...

Pound rebounds following lighter than expected inflation figures

Wednesday’s trading session saw the pound on the front foot, gaining back some of the losses from the past week against a basket of currencies. Inflation data released in the morning showed price growth slowed in July for the first time since September 2021. Could this be a signal that the cost-of-living crisis has begun to ease in the UK? The Bank of England stated last month that they expect inflation to peak at 13%. The drop in price growth does pose an interesting question...

Will the Pound Remain Steady after Surprise Dip in Inflation ?

The pound has been relatively steady today following a surprise dip in the headline Inflation numbers. In welcome news across the country, the number came in at 9.9% higher year on year for August, versus the 10.2% numbers from last month for July. The important point is the number has been trending higher since the beginning of the year so this marks a turning point and could potentially signal a change in policy ahead. Inflation is very influential on interest rates, and interest rate...
A Rollarcoaster Week for GBP EUR - Weekly Review June 18th 

Will the pound keep rising against the Euro and when is the best time...

The pound to Euro exchange rate has bounced back from the recent lows rising above 1.16 and making a brave challenge for 1.17 in the last 24 hours. Some fresh confidence that finally, the British government is going to do something about the awful cost of living crisis facing the UK has seen investors take advantage of the recent lows of sterling and buy in some speculative positioning. It might be argued that all this has done is stem the tide of a majorly depreciating...

Pound jumps on expectations that Liz Truss will announce huge economic plan – Sterling...

The pound has struggled to find many positive days in recent weeks, however, over the course of this morning we have seen sterling exchange rates creep up against all major currencies. The majority of this can be put down to a minor shift in sentiment and that investors and speculators alike appear to have some confidence behind the expected economic plans being muted by new Prime Minister Liz Truss. Expectations are for an economic package of £130 Billion to be announced in due course which would...
GBP USD Exchange Rate Drops to Fresh Low as Truss Becomes New PM

GBP USD Exchange Rate Drops to Fresh Low as Truss Becomes New PM

The pound slid as low as 1.144 against the dollar on Monday – its lowest level since March 2020 – ahead of the announcement of the new Prime Minister. When, as widely expected, it was confirmed that Liz Truss had beaten Rishi Sunak in the race to 10 Downing Street, the UK currency managed to claw its way back into the 1.15 range. Truss has promised tax cuts and a new energy plan within the week, which could present the Bank of England with the conditions...