GBP Exchange Rates in Politically Driven Week

The pound is set for a hugely volatile week as the House of Commons Brexit withdrawal vote approaches next Tuesday. The pressure is now very much on Prime Minister Theresa May who will be meeting Brexit ministers today to discuss the final arrangements for a backstop plan. This proposal has been very controversial within cabinet with a public clash between Brexit secretary David Davis and Theresa May. If no agreement can be reached today then this could prove problematic for sterling exchange rates with...

Euro strengthens as ECB board member drops hint

We've seen the Euro strengthen during today's trading session, as a member of the European Central Bank has dropped a hint regarding next week's June ECB meeting. The ECB's Peter Praet has given us a strong hint during a speech in Berlin that next weeks meeting could see the ECB signal the end of their assett-purchasing programme. Some economists are expecting to see September as the cut off point which is actually an shorter time frame than initially expected. Personally, I'm expecting to see the...
New Trade Tariffs $200 Billion Announced - Dollar Supported

Will GBPEUR rise or fall in June?

The pound has been rising against the Euro for various reasons but just lately we have seen it slide as we see a quick turnaround in events. The key issue has been the volatility of the Eurozone, this has all centred around the Italian uncertainty as markets try to digest what exactly will happen next. One moment we have been bracing ourselves for the worst, the next the markets settle as investors feel everything will be okay. The month of June opens up a whole host...
Pound vs Euro closes in on a 5 month high

Pound to Euro rate hits a 1-month high as Euro weakens due to Italian...

The Euro fell another half a percent against the Pound yesterday, after news broke over the weekend that the expected Italian coalition government is no longer looking likely to form. There were expectations that the five star movement and League would form the coalition over the weekend, but the Italian President Sergio Mattarella cancelled talks after the coalition put forward Eurosceptic, Paolo Savona for finance minister. The markets were already weary of the unfolding's in Italy due to the populist and Eurosceptic leanings, along with...

Euro weakens as Italian Government fails to form – How may this impact Euro...

The on-going political crisis in Europe has now deepened as news hit the wires over the weekend that the Five star movement and League parties had failed to come to an agreement and form a Government for Italy, heightening political instability in Italy and leading to Euro weakness. This may now pave the way for fresh elections in Italy and will more than likely lead to another long period of uncertainty not only for Italian politics but also for the Eurozone as a whole. There are...

Mixed signals see GBPEUR remain range bound!

GBPEUR has been stuck in a tight range trading in a band of 3 cents in the last month. Over the last 3 months the range is 4 cents so there really has not been anything too dramatic occurring on the rate, compared to some of the more volatile sudden moves since the Brexit vote. Whilst we have begun to hit some fresh highs when it reached 1.16, I expect we will now remain in this more familiar ranges for much of June. Despite the...
Sterling on shaky ground

GBP/EUR rates dependent on UK economic data and EU politics this week

So far the week has been fairly flat for GBP/EUR exchange rates once, but there is plenty of economic data due out over the next few days that should create some volatility. Tomorrow we have the release of U.K inflation figures  along with a flurry of data from the Eurozone as the morning progresses. Inflation in the U.K is expected to have dropped off a little, from 2.5% to 2.3% and this may result in a drop in the value of Sterling against the Euro if...
Could a Brexit deal be finalised on the 21st of November?

GBP/EUR Forecast – Sterling Finds Some Support After Last Week’s Heavy Losses (Matthew Vassallo)

The Pound has found a level of support against the Euro this week, following a poor run over the past couple of weeks. GBP/EUR rates are now trading back above 1.14, which will be welcomed by any clients looking to execute a GBP/EUR currency exchange over the coming days. It’s been well documented that the Pound has been under pressure of late. Investors quickly sold off their GBP currency position, when it became clear that the Bank of England (BoE) would not be raising interest rates...

Euro buying opportunity as Italian politics causes concern

The Euro has weakened as investors struggle to make sense of the latest news from Italy and their political situation as we wait to learn the latest coalition proposals. This has been directly linked to the latest news from the 5-Star party and also the far-right league who have both indicated that they are pursuing an agenda which does not conform to the current visions embodied by Merkel and Macron. Aiming for deeper integration we have seen the Euro rising on the back of previously held...
Pound to Euro rates - will GBP/EUR test the 1.15 level?

Has GBP/EUR already hit its 2018 high, and what factors could drive its value...

The Pound to Euro exchange rate is currently trading around the 1.14 mark, after seeing a slight boost yesterday off the back of some positive data. After beginning yesterday's trading session closer to the 1.13 mark the Pound was boosted when the Office of National Statistics (ONS) announced that UK unemployment sits at the record low of 4.2%, and that wage growth in the UK has outpaced the rate of inflation for the first time in a year. Despite this positive data the Pound to Euro...